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Jun 1, 2015 5:18 PMPublication: The Southampton Press

Hurricane Season Predicted To Be 'Below Normal' This Year

Jun 2, 2015 3:44 PM

Forecasters are predicting a “below-normal” hurricane season this year, saying there will be fewer storms than average from now through November 30.

According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, there is still a 70-percent chance of six to 11 storms with winds at 39 mph or more, three to six of which could become hurricanes, at 74 mph or more, and two of which could become major hurricanes of 111 mph or more.

“You need to prepare now if you’re a coastal resident,” said Dr. Gerry Bell, NOAA’s lead seasonal hurricane forecaster, who released the report in time for the start of hurricane season on June 1. For instance, coastal residents should make sure to have a preparedness kit, run a practice drill, have a plan for pets and for medical needs, and know how to evacuate their neighborhood. “People who are prepared fare much better than those who are not,” he said.

El Niño, a warming of the central to eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, influences the hurricane outlook for the Atlantic Ocean because it affects the pattern of rainfall and wind. Dr. Bell said the warmth in the Pacific suppresses the Atlantic hurricane season and is expected to have its greatest influence during the peak months of the season, mid-August to late October.

For the last 10 years, the Atlantic has been in an active hurricane cycle, but it is possible that is ending. On the other hand, there is a great deal of variability in predicting the weather for the Atlantic Ocean, including normal year-to-year fluctuations, Dr. Bell said. The forecaster said 13 of the last 20 hurricanes have occurred in “above-normal” hurricane seasons.

Hurricane Sandy in late October 2012—it was a tropical storm, for the most part, by the time it dealt a glancing blow to the East End—was the last named storm to strike the region. There are no predictions made for the likelihood of a hurricane hitting any specific region of the country, but Suffolk County officials are bracing for the possibility.

County Executive Steve Bellone said last week that emergency and public safety officials are continually reviewing and improving emergency operations to ensure that the county is prepared when emergency situations occur.

Joseph Nimmich, the deputy administrator of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, pointed out last week that it takes only one hurricane to “significantly disrupt your life.”

“Everyone should take action now to prepare themselves and their families for hurricanes and powerful storms,” he said. “Knowing what to do ahead of time can literally save your life and help you bounce back stronger and faster should disaster strike in your area.”

For more information about how to prepare, visit www.ready.gov/hurricanes.

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Wait wait wait, I though the Algore proclaimed the planet had a fever and we were going to have more frequent and more powerful storms? How can his holy word be wrong!
By Preliator Lives (437), Obamavillie on Jun 2, 15 8:25 AM
I am sure the people in Texas agree with you.
By prometheus (13), HB on Jun 2, 15 10:29 AM
1 member liked this comment