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Apr 3, 2012 1:29 PMPublication: The East Hampton Press

Bishop Campaign Touts Early Lead In Polls Over Altschuler

Apr 3, 2012 4:16 PM

An early poll commissioned by Democratic U.S. Representative Tim Bishop’s campaign suggests that he currently holds a double-digit lead over Republican Randy Altschuler, the congressman’s possible challenger this November and the man who came within 600 votes of unseating him two years ago.

The poll, which was paid for by Tim Bishop for Congress, concludes that the incumbent congressman currently holds a 17-point lead over Mr. Altschuler, who hopes to challenge Mr. Bishop a second time this fall. While he recently secured the Independence Party line, Mr. Altschuler, who was the Republican nominee in 2010, must first hold off a challenge from fellow Republican George Demos in a primary election that is scheduled for June 26 before securing the GOP line this November.

The poll’s results are based on responses from 402 potential general election voters gathered between March 20 and 25 throughout the 1st Congressional District. It was conducted by the Global Strategy Group, which has offices in Manhattan, and has a margin of error of 4.9 percent.

Mr. Bishop leads Mr. Altschuler 53 percent to 36 percent, with 11 percent of voters still undecided, according to a statement issued by the pollster. It states that Mr. Bishop has a high favorable rating among potential voters, with 55 percent saying that they like the congressman and 31 percent saying they do not. It also notes that Mr. Bishop is “well-liked across partisan lines,” explaining that he possesses a 69 percent favorable rating among Democrats and a 59 percent favorable rating with independents. Even four in 10 Republicans polled gave him a favorable rating, the report states.

It goes on to claim that Mr. Altschuler is “a weak candidate scarred from his unsuccessful 2010 campaign,” and that Mr. Bishop’s strong standing “can partly be attributed to a clear shift in the political environment since the GOP wave of 2010.”

When reached this week, Diana Weir, Mr. Altschuler’s spokeswoman, dismissed the poll. Asked if the results made her nervous, she said, “Not at all.”

“You sure it wasn’t an April Fool’s joke?” she added.

Ms. Weir said it is likely that the individuals being polled were given “push questions,” or those that were worded to elicit a specific response.

“A poll is a snapshot in time, as you know,” she said. “It helps you guide your process. It may help you direct a little bit of your campaign, but it’s really not setting [it in] stone. The poll is on Election Day, as far as I’m concerned. That’s the one that counts.”

Oliver Longwell, Mr. Bishop’s spokesman, said the poll proves that Mr. Bishop’s support is strong across the 1st Congressional District, which includes all five East End Towns, Brookhaven Town and most of the Town of Smithtown.

“We think it’s very good news,” Mr. Longwell said. “It shows deep and broad support for Tim and rejection of outsourcing millionaire Randy Altschuler. We think it’s very encouraging. It means that we’re just going to keep working harder.”

It is unclear how much the poll cost, but Mr. Longwell said that, in the past, similarly sized undertakings commissioned by Mr. Bishop’s campaign cost around $23,000.

There is one name that’s missing from the poll: Mr. Demos, who is waging a primary election against Mr. Altschuler for the Republican line in two months, said that if he loses, Mr. Bishop will go on to win his sixth term of office.

“Everyone knows that he already beat [Mr. Altschuler] once in the best Republican year of the century,” Mr. Demos said. “If Randy Altschuler couldn’t win in a year Republicans couldn’t lose, how else are people ever going to vote for him two years later, when it’s not going to be the Republican year of the century?”

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Yes, Tim Bishop is the best man for the job. The 1st congressional district
will be much better off with him in office. He is a hard worker, dedicated, and
posesses a great deal of integrity. Moreover, he is well respected amongst his peers in Congress, and his seniority can truly benefit our district.
By Jimion (129), Hampton Bays on Apr 3, 12 8:04 PM
I pay attention to him, and will vote for him this November.
By SHNative (554), Southampton on Apr 3, 12 9:41 PM
1 member liked this comment
Good job. Global who??? Has announced Timmy is ahead by 11% in April based on a pool of 400 people! Based on that revelation Randy should give up! Seriously this is news??
By razza5350 (1911), East Hampton on Apr 3, 12 11:45 PM
1 member liked this comment
Tim will win in the end, and should. Yes, this poll is just a snapshot, but if it had been the other way, Randy's spokeswoman Ms. Weir would be trumpeting it all over the district.

Since it hasn't gotten much attention in the media, let's not forget that Chairman Frank MacKay's three principal (only?) Independence Party officeholders on the East End -- Assemblyman Fred Thiele, County Legislator Jay Scheiderman & Southampton Supervisor Anna Throne-Holst -- repudiated his one-man endorsement ...more
By Turkey Bridge (1979), Quiogue on Apr 4, 12 3:31 AM
With an 11% undecided and a 5% margin of error this so called poll means nothing. And I mean nothing. At all. A sample of 402 at 23K!? Those are the only numbers you need to see. Big government spends big money to talk to a minute percentage of the voters, press releases it and in reality they paid $60.00 per person in this poll. At least that's a little less than Tim paid for a screw driver through his no bid contracts to union thugs who kick tail at his Nassau County Open houses. $60/per ...more
By Steve H (4), Southampton on Apr 4, 12 5:54 AM
1 member liked this comment
The poll business was finished looong ago incidentally. Nobody pays attention to these anymore except the talking heads and the desperate. The only time the electorate get to speak is in the voting booth. It was ugly for (d) last time and more people than ever are aware of what is taking place and the citizenry is no less unemployed, broke, frustrated, angry and looking for the chance to express this, not at the water cooler any more, but in the voting booth. We/They quietly await our chance ...more
By Steve H (4), Southampton on Apr 4, 12 6:00 AM
This comment has been removed because it is a duplicate, off-topic or contains inappropriate content.
By suffolkvoter (1), port jefferson station on Apr 4, 12 9:52 AM
HAH! Good riddance, Randy. I hear there are some open seats in the Pakistani and Indian parliaments, perhaps you'd have better luck there.
By peoplefirst (787), Southampton on Apr 4, 12 11:22 AM
after 38 years of employment, 26 with the same employer, my job and most of the IT staff I supervised were eliminated and out-sourced to India, and I was lucky, I qualified for a pension while no one else did. Gee, guess who I'll send a few bucks to as a contribution.
By North of Highway (280), Westhampton Beach on Apr 4, 12 11:31 AM
Randy! Good for you. Did you ever consider you were outsourced because you did not do a good job?
By MickNY (43), East Hampton on Apr 4, 12 12:51 PM
Yeah, gee, retained for 26 years.

He must have been HORRIBLE at his supervisory position, Mick.

Did you ever think that maybe it was just to cut costs, so as to keep the bottom line, pay level, and salary increases for the top end?

I'd bank on the latter...
By Mr. Z (11847), North Sea on Apr 4, 12 4:32 PM
This comment has been removed because it is a duplicate, off-topic or contains inappropriate content.
By MickNY (43), East Hampton on Apr 4, 12 12:50 PM
"It also notes that Mr. Bishop is 'well-liked across partisan lines,' explaining that he possesses a 69 percent favorable rating among Democrats and a 59 percent favorable rating with independents. Even four in 10 Republicans polled gave him a favorable rating, the report states."

The poll is too small and too early to be predictive but it's nice to have my impression of ...more
By highhatsize (4217), East Quogue on Apr 4, 12 1:56 PM
1 member liked this comment
By Mr. Z (11847), North Sea on Apr 4, 12 4:28 PM
I dont know about the anti christ but I do know two years ago Bishop won by the skin of his teeth. Bishop definitely leans far to the left. I know this "report" is BS when it says 4 out of 10 repubs have a favorable rating of him
By razza5350 (1911), East Hampton on Apr 6, 12 7:35 PM
1 member liked this comment
Tim was too afraid to debate Randy because he ''wasn't the candidate yet'' but he doesn't mind trying to fool his deficient fans with a fake poll that he ''touts'' against the same guy. Too easy Tim! This is too easy. No debate, but the poll now that's real. Hahahaha. Whats the big deal? Tim's got it in the bag right? Just like the prez. It is ovah!!
By Stephen Maybaline (18), Southampton on Apr 8, 12 7:32 AM
Bum rap on Bishop, Stephen. By the way, you're the guy, aren't you, who in your first three posts here last month really mocked the eruv and Jewish observance generally, right? Nasty stuff, Stephen, whether one's for the eruv or against it.

Looking at the other posts in your short career, I'll give you the nod for calling out old Neil Tiger on some of his endless nonsense, and also for nailing the Wilson scenario as the Chief doing his job like a pro while a catfight goes on around him.

This ...more
By fidelis (199), westhampton beach on Apr 9, 12 6:18 AM
It just occurred to me that regardless of how transitory this poll may be, there's one person who'll swear by it, and that's George Demos. Watch him slam Randy with it in the Republican primary contest, claiming it proves Altschuler can't beat Bishop.
By Turkey Bridge (1979), Quiogue on Apr 11, 12 12:09 PM
I heard that that Tim will announce he will not run within the next two weeks and a substitute will be placed in. Randy will be the next Congressman. This is not a rumor this is a fact. Why are so many of you angry in your posts. If you all think you can do a better job get off your lazy butts and run for public office. Most of you can dish it out but can't take it. Thats you Mr. turkeybridge your a stand up guy who always thinks he knows everything. look who you said endorses bishop, anna ...more
By lbrand (7), hampton bays on Apr 16, 12 9:11 PM
Only property owners get to run for office? Maybe we can take the right to vote away also - back to the feudal system!

I think the only thing you should be complaining about is the failure of the educational system to adequately prepare you for life as an adult as evidenced by your post.
By VOS (1241), WHB on Apr 16, 12 11:00 PM
This comment has been removed because it is a duplicate, off-topic or contains inappropriate content.
By suffolkvoter (1), port jefferson station on Apr 18, 12 1:13 PM
He holds telephone Town Halls where his staff select the questions to be asked of him with no retorts. He held a Town Hall meeting last election where all the questions were selected by reporters from Newsday. He claims 7500 hundred people called in to his phone Town Hall but he called you. I know because I was one. When everything is one way it just seems like Prada to me. BTW I am no fan of Randy either. I just like to have a Rep who has the guts to listen to all of their constituents.
By Dr Spock (36), Hampton Bays on Apr 18, 12 4:14 PM
Tim Bishop has a wonderful feel for running a business. The last business Tim ran was Southampton College, which delared bankruptcy and closed under his direction. He will now vote for every bill that spends money we don't have and will never repay,he' ll wrack up the National Debt, and will undermine
The value of the dollar as he continues to vote for nationalizing huge swaths of the private economy. Socialism is a failed philosophy, the only thing that is equally shared is the misery it ...more
By wendel (7), Miller Place on May 29, 12 7:50 PM
Last time I checked, unfettered, unregulated Capitalism blew the **** off the world economy just four short years ago...
May 29, 12 8:16 PM appended by Mr. Z
You may want to rephrase yourself to state that COMMUNISM is a complete, and total failure as a system. It would be FAR more historically accurate.
By Mr. Z (11847), North Sea on May 29, 12 8:16 PM